Sunday, 21 October, 2018

Florence regroups as Tropical Storm Kirk; slim chance for Carolina repeat

Tropical depression forms in the Atlantic; three other disturbances tracked Tropical Depression Eleven has formed. But there’s a more concerning storm out there | Bradenton Herald
Sherry Houston | 24 September, 2018, 21:54

National Hurricane Center forecasters are now calling a storm that is closest to the USA, and about 485 miles east of the Windward Islands, Tropical Depression Eleven.

"It is possible that Kirk could degenerate into a trough of low pressure during the next day or two while it moves quickly across the tropical central Atlantic", the public advisory says.

Tropical Storm Kirk has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour (65 km/h), with higher gusts.

Kirk is predicted to make an even faster westward motion across the deep tropical Atlantic Ocean through Tuesday but weakening is likely during the middle to latter part of the week.

While some storms are just getting started, Tropical Depression 11 near the Windward Islands dissipated Sunday afternoon. Unfavorable upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit development tonight and Sunday, but conditions could become more conducive for some development of this system on Monday or Tuesday while it moves westward and west-northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. Leslie is moving south at 6 miles per hour. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles, mainly to the northwest of the center.

"Some intensification is likely over warm water over the next few days, but wind shear will weaken the storm as it approaches the lesser Antilles", said Storm Team 8 Meteorologist Ian Oliver. This low, called Invest 98 for now, has been fighting a lot of wind shear, so development chances only sit at 30 percent.

No coastal watches or warnings were in effect for either storm.

"Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, but Leslie is forecast to strengthen when it merges with a frontal system in two to three days", the hurricane center added.

The latest satellite pass over the storm, thousands of miles out in the North Atlantic, showed a hybrid system that's a mix between a tropical storm and the more common storm systems we see all the time.

NOAA's National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 5 a.m.

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